Mamdani Holds Commanding Lead for NYC Mayor

November 1, 2025

New York City Democratic mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani holds a commanding 25-point lead over former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) less than a week out from the race to succeed outgoing New York City Mayor Eric Adams (D), according to a recent poll.

An Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill survey released Thursday shows Mamdani at 50 percent, Cuomo at 25 percent and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa at 21 percent. Close to 4 percent say they’re undecided.

When undecideds are factored in, Mamdani’s support grows to 51 percent, while Cuomo, who is running as an independent after losing the Democratic primary to Mamdani, receives 26 percent and Sliwa remains at 21 percent.

Zohran Mamdani is the Overwhelming Favorite to Become New York City’s Next Mayor

There are two issues that are key to understanding Mamdani’s rising popularity: housing and inflation.

Mr. Mamdani has run an innovative campaign promising to freeze rents and to lower the cost of living for working-class New Yorkers.

It is not surprising that Mamdani’s popularity is strongest among young people, as these concerns generally poll among the top issues for that demographic. A September poll by Quinnipiac University found that 63 per cent of 18-34 year olds support Mamdani for mayor.

Interestingly, his lead is not limited to that age group. In fact, he is ahead in every other age group as well.

Polymarket, a prediction-market website popular among young people with an interest in American politics, where users bet real money on election outcomes, Mamdani has a 92 per cent chance of becoming the next mayor our nation’s largest city.

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